fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. Politics Podcast - FiveThirtyEight History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Preview of Spotify. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. NEW TOWN . Biden Is Set To Be The Next President | FiveThirtyEight Politics What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) - FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. 01:00 PM. How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast The State Of The Polls, 2016. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. The Gerrymandering Project - FiveThirtyEight FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. FiveThirtyEight - Media Bias/Fact Check American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. The Lowe Post Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. 'Coldest Case' review: Serial's podcast revisits a 1985 murder in Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. Conversations with Tyler | Listen to Tyler Cowen's Official Podcast Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Edit your transcribed text. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. 450 episodes. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. How To Create A Podcast Transcript - The Ultimate Guide They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". 11:03 AM. . The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. Saturday, February 25, 2023. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. heritage commons university of utah. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. Good Sport on Apple Podcasts Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. 04:58 PM. No products in the cart. 01:06 PM. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. robert kraft granddaughter. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. You can't imitate a worldview. What Liz Cheney might do next | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working Good Sport | Podcasts | TED 2022 Midterms LIVE (Audio Replay POD) - The Heartland POD (podcast The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. All. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. A message from Martine. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different.

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